2022 US Mid-term Elections
Nov. 8th, 2022 04:41 pm![[personal profile]](https://www.dreamwidth.org/img/silk/identity/user.png){kind=small}
ceemageTues 16:41 Zulu Time: BBC News said a 5 am EST start for poll workers on the East Coast (10 am Greenwich Mean Time), which seems a bit early. Unless you're one of those NH villages that open the polls at 12:00 am, then close them at 12:05 am once all dozen voters have voted, or something.
Tues 19:14 Zulu Time: FiveThirtyEight website’s final forecast is that the Republicans have an 84% chance of controlling the House, and a 59% chance of taking the Senate. This is their “deluxe” forecast, that includes human input from their pollster wonks. The equivalent “polls only” forecasts are House 75% Rep, Senate 51% Rep.
Tues 19:15 Zulu Time: 538 also reckon that re-districting won’t be a major issue in the House, as both sides have been almost as good/bad as each other in keeping the spirit of Gov. Elbridge Gerry alive. (The Senate is, of course, (almost) immune from gerrymandering, if you think about it.)
Tues 19:14 Zulu Time: FiveThirtyEight website’s final forecast is that the Republicans have an 84% chance of controlling the House, and a 59% chance of taking the Senate. This is their “deluxe” forecast, that includes human input from their pollster wonks. The equivalent “polls only” forecasts are House 75% Rep, Senate 51% Rep.
Tues 19:15 Zulu Time: 538 also reckon that re-districting won’t be a major issue in the House, as both sides have been almost as good/bad as each other in keeping the spirit of Gov. Elbridge Gerry alive. (The Senate is, of course, (almost) immune from gerrymandering, if you think about it.)
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Date: 2022-11-08 07:53 pm (UTC)